ECONOMIC INDICATORS – AUSTRALIA

Business Confidence up 1.4pts in November to 114.1

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Dec-17

Business Confidence in Australia rose 1.4pts (+1.2%) to 114.1 in November 2017, according to the Roy Morgan Business Single Source survey, despite political issues for the Federal Government facing two by-elections over the next fortnight. Some 49.7% (up 1.9ppts) of businesses expect "good times" for the Australian economy over the next year, while 44.2% (down 1.6ppts) expect "bad times". Meanwhile, 44% (down 1.8ppts) of businesses say their business will be "better off" financially this time next year, while 20.3% (down 2.9ppts) expect the business to be "worse off" this time next year. The small increase in Business Confidence in November was driven by rises in confidence in industries including Finance & Insurance, Accommodation & Food services, Professional, scientific & technical and Education & training.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Australian Inflation Expectations up in October led by renters

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 4-Dec-17

Australians aged +14 expect inflation of 4.5% per year over the next two years, according to the Roy Morgan Inflation Expectations Index for October 2017. This is up 0.1% in a month, and up 0.4% from October 2016. However, it remains well below the seven-year average of 5.0%. Inflation Expectations among renters was 4.9% in October, compared with just 3.9% for home owners and 4.2% for mortgagors. Analysis by State shows that Inflation Expectations are highest in South Australia at 4.9%, followed by Victoria and Queensland (4.6%). Analysing Inflation Expectations by Federal voting intention shows that ALP supporters (4.6%) have the highest inflation expectations, ahead of L-NP supporters (4%) and Greens supporters (4.4%)

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence moderates after recent strength down 1.4pts to 115.0

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-Nov-17

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence declined in the week ending 26 November, easing 1.2% to 115.0. However, confidence remains above the long term average of 112.9. Three out of five sub-indices posted falls, including both current and future economic conditions. Households’ views towards both current and future economic conditions slipped 3.4% and 3.3% respectively, after two weeks of solid gains. Household views toward the state of their current finances slipped for the fourth consecutive week, down 2.3%, while sentiment around the ‘time to buy a household item’ improved 0.5%, bringing this sub-index back to its long term average (133.8).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating rises to a 16-week high of 116.4

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Nov-17

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Rating increased 1.4% to 116.4 in the week ended 19 November 2017, its highest level in 16 weeks. The details were broadly positive, with three out of five sub-indices posting gains, while the other two showed only slight falls. Households’ views towards both current and future economic conditions rose 2.9% and 2.0% respectively. Household views towards the current state of their finances were again pessimistic, but views towards future conditions jumped 3.0%, the first increase in four weeks. Inflation expectations remain unchanged at 4.5% in four-week moving average terms.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Signs of life in corporate investment: RBA

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Original article by David Rogers, James Glynn
The Australian – Page: 28 : 14-Nov-17

The Reserve Bank’s deputy governor Guy Debelle has told the UBS Australasia Conference that business investment outside of Australia’s mining sector has been stronger than official figures suggest in the last several years. He said the services sector in particular has recorded strong growth in capital investment, while there has also been an increase in public investment in infrastructure. Meanwhile, Debelle noted that a rise in the cash rate will be dependent on an increase in wages and inflation.

CORPORATES
RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence: headline index eases slightly

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 8-Nov-17

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence slipped 0.7% to 112.6 in the week ended 5 November 2017, a touch under its long-term average of 112.9. The details were broadly negative, with four out of five sub-indices showing falls. The outlook on economic conditions in the next year rose 2.1%, partially offsetting a 4.5% fall in the previous week. The sub-index on longer-term future economic conditions fell 2.8% to its lowest value in eight weeks. Meanwhile, consumers’ views about current financial conditions eased 0.5% after a solid 5.3% jump the previous week, and the outlook for future financial conditions fell for the third straight week, bringing the index down to its lowest point in 11 weeks.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

2.334 million Australians now unemployed or under-employed

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Original article by
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 6-Nov-17

A Roy Morgan survey has found that 1.226 million Australians were unemployed in October, an increase of 38,000 over the same time in 2016. A further 1.108 million Australians were under-employed, down 138,000 on the same time in 2016. The number of Australians in employment in October totalled 11,767,000, an increase of 104,000 over the past year, with the increase largely due to a rise in full-time jobs. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says employment growth has eased in the second half of 2017, while he notes the end of car manufacturing in Australia in October will have a flow-on effect to several automotive parts manufacturers and suppliers.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS

Home loans break trillion dollar barrier

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Original article by Michael Roddan
The Australian – Page: 21 : 1-Nov-17

The Australian Prudential Regulation Authority has reported that the value of mortgage loans written for owner-occupiers rose by 0.5 per cent in September, to $A1.03bn. Meanwhile, there was 0.3 per cent growth across the mortgage lending sector during the month. Separate data from the Reserve Bank shows that there was 0.5 per cent growth in housing loans in September, while year-on-year growth rose from 6.4 per cent to 6.5 per cent. In contrast, annual growth in business lending was 4.3 per cent.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN PRUDENTIAL REGULATION AUTHORITY, RESERVE BANK OF AUSTRALIA, DIGITAL FINANCE ANALYTICS, BENDIGO AND ADELAIDE BANK LIMITED – ASX BEN, COMMONWEALTH BANK OF AUSTRALIA – ASX CBA, SUNCORP GROUP LIMITED – ASX SUN, MACQUARIE GROUP LIMITED – ASX MQG, ME BANK, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ, NATIONAL AUSTRALIA BANK LIMITED – ASX NAB, WESTPAC BANKING CORPORATION – ASX WBC, UBS HOLDINGS PTY LTD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence virtually unchanged at 113.4

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Nov-17

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence edged 0.1% higher to 113.4 in the week ended 29 October 2017, after an 0.8% rise in the previous week. The steady headline result masks some variation between the sub-indices. The outlook on economic conditions in the next year fell 4.5%, more than entirely unwinding the previous 4.3% rise and bringing the sub-index to its lowest value in seven weeks. Consumers were also less optimistic about future economic conditions. This sub-index slipped 1.5%, partially reversing the 3.5% increase in the previous week. In contrast, views about current financial conditions rose a solid 5.3% to 108.4, the highest value since mid-June. The outlook for future financial conditions fell by 1.9%, following a 0.9% fall the previous week. Both sub-indices remain above their long-term averages.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Is the low-wage tide about to turn? Signals look good, Treasury says

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Original article by Jacob Greber
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 10 : 26-Oct-17

Treasury secretary John Fraser has told a Senate estimates hearing that there are indications that wages growth is gaining pace in some sectors of the economy and some geographical areas. Fraser noted that many workers have been reluctant to press for pay rises in the wake of the global financial crisis, which he adds has resulted in the longest business cycle he has experienced.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE TREASURY