Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 7-Jul-26

The latest Roy Morgan survey shows that primary support for the ALP is unchanged at 28% and One Nation is down 3.5% to 22.5%; primary support for the L-NP Coalition is unchanged at 21.5% (Liberals 19% and Nationals 2.5%, both unchanged), while the Greens are up 1% to 14% and Independents/ Other Parties are up 2.5% at 14%. Support for One Nation has now declined by 9% points over the last two weeks, after hitting a high of 31.5% when Pauline Hanson addressed the National Press Club for the first time. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would win a clear majority against either One Nation or the Coalition. When preferences are allocated for Coalition, Greens, Independent, and Other Party supporters between the ALP and One Nation, Roy Morgan estimates that the ALP 56% (up 3%) is in front of One Nation 44% (down 3%). If the contest is between the ALP and L-NP, on a two-party preferred basis (based on how electors said they would ‘vote’ their preferences), the ALP is also ahead – ALP 55% (up 1.5%) cf. L-NP 45% (down 1.5%), according to the Roy Morgan survey conducted from 29 June to 5 July, with a representative Australia-wide cross-section of 1,584 electors.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, ONE NATION PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS