ALP maintains election-winning lead; One Nation overtake the L-NP Coalition on primary vote

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 28-Jul-26

This week ALP primary support is unchanged at 27.5%, One Nation up 3% to 25.5%, L-NP Coalition, down 1% to 22% – Liberals 18.5% (down 2%) and Nationals 3.5% (up 1%), Greens unchanged at 14%, and Independents/ Other Parties down 2% to 11%. If a Federal Election were held now the ALP would win a majority against either One Nation or the L-NP Coalition. When preferences are allocated for Coalition, Greens, Independent, and Other Party supporters between the ALP and One Nation, Roy Morgan estimates the ALP 53.5% (down 1.5%) in front of One Nation 46.5% (up 1.5%). If the contest is between the ALP and L-NP, on a two-party preferred basis (based on how electors said they’d ‘vote’ their preferences), the ALP is also ahead – ALP 54% (down 2%) cf. L-NP 46% (up 2%) according to the Roy Morgan Poll conducted from 20-26 July, with a representative Australia-wide cross-section of 1,643 electors.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, ONE NATION PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

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