PUBLIC OPINION POLLS – AUSTRALIA

Political polling company used by Sydney Morning Herald, The Age and GetUp! co-owned by CFMMEU and ACTU, investigation reveals

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Original article by Pat McGrath, Jeremy Story Carter, Sarah Curnow
abc.net au – Page: Online : 10-Apr-19

An ABC investigation has revealed that the ACTU and the Construction, Forestry, Maritime, Mining & Energy Union are co-owners of Melbourne-based public opinion polling firm uComms. A spokeswoman for the ACTU has rejected concerns about a conflict of interests, but the University of Sydney’s Professor Simon Jackman says polling firms should disclose any political connections in their ownership structure. Some clients uComms are believed to have expressed their intention to cease using the firm for polling in the wake of the revelations. Tomorrow ABIX will publish details of who owns each of the major market research and polling companies which survey in Australia.

CORPORATES
UCOMMS, ACTU, CONSTRUCTION, FORESTRY, MARITIME, MINING AND ENERGY UNION OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN BROADCASTING CORPORATION, GETUP LIMITED, UNIVERSITY OF SYDNEY

Budget delivers 2.5% swing to the L-NP but ALP still lead on a two party preferred basis: ALP 52.5% cf. L-NP 47.5%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 9-Apr-19

A face-to-face Roy Morgan Poll shows that the ALP 52.5% (down 2.5% from before the Federal Budget) leads the L-NP 47.5% (up 2.5%) on a two-party preferred basis. The poll, which was conducted on the weekend of 6-7 April with 809 Australian electors, also shows that the ALP’s primary vote has fallen by 1.5% to 35%, while the L-NP’s primary vote has risen 2.5% to 37%. Roy Morgan’s Government Confidence Rating has fallen by 2pts to 99.5 following the Federal Budget. Now 40.5% (down 1%) of electors say ‘Australia is heading in the right direction’ and 41% (up 1%) say ‘Australia is heading in the wrong direction’, and 18.5% (unchanged) can’t say.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Government Confidence rises above 100 pre Federal Budget as more Australians believe the country is going in the right direction than the wrong direction

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Apr-19

Roy Morgan’s Government Confidence Rating increased by 11pts to 101.5 for the two weekends of 16-17 and 23-24 March 2019. Some 41.5% of electors (up 4.5%) now say that Australia is heading in the ‘right direction’, and 40% (down 6.5%) say Australia is heading in the ‘wrong direction’. Government Confidence is now in positive territory for the first time since Scott Morrison became Prime Minister in August 2018 as the Government prepares to deliver its pre-election Budget on 2 April. Government Confidence among L-NP supporters has increased by 16.5pts to 126.5; some 54.5% of L-NP supporters (up 6.5%) now say Australia is heading in the ‘right direction’ and only 28% (down 10%) say Australia is heading in the ‘wrong direction’. Meanwhile, government confidence among ALP supporters has increased by 4pts to 98; now 40% of ALP supporters (up 1.5%) say Australia is heading in the ‘right direction’, while 42% (down 2.5%) say Australia is heading in the ‘wrong direction’.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Former PM Malcolm Turnbull slams Liberal Party in BBC interview

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Original article by
News.com.au – Page: Online : 8-Mar-19

Former prime minister Malcolm Turnbull has claimed in an interview with British journalist Andrew Neil that he was ousted because the Liberal Party believed that he would win the 2019 election. Turnbull maintains that the Coalition had been in a winnable position when he was ousted in August. He says public opinion polls of the time showed that support for the Coalition and Labor was evenly split, and that the Coalition was ahead in marginal seats. Turnbull adds that the Liberals can still win the election, but notes that successor Scott Morrison is faring worse than him in the polls.

CORPORATES
LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Last weekend’s Roy Morgan face-to-face poll shows: ALP 52.5%, L-NP 47.5%. L-NP jump 3% on 2PP after ALP vote to loosen border protection laws

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Feb-19

An Australia-wide Roy Morgan face-to-face poll conducted over the weekend of 16-17 February shows that support for the ALP on a two-party preferred basis is 52.5%, compared with 47.5% for the L-NP. There has been a 3% swing to the L-NP on a two-party preferred basis following the ALP’s decision to back the medivac legislation. The L-NP’s primary vote has risen by 2.5% to 37%, while the ALP’s primary vote has fallen 1.5% to 34.5%. Roy Morgan’s executive chairman Gary Morgan says the results of the Roy Morgan poll show that the issue of border protection is a major strength for the L-NP; however, a lot can happen between now and the Federal Election in May.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Palmer’s New Year Advertising Blitz fails to attract voters – United Australia Party at 1%

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Feb-19

Clive Palmer has been ubiquitous on Australian screens – whether TV, mobile, tablet, or computer over the last few weeks, but the latest Roy Morgan Poll conducted with 1,673 electors over the last fortnight shows that Palmer’s 2019 advertising blitz has failed to convince Australians to give the former Fairfax MP another chance in Federal politics. Palmer’s newly rebranded United Australia Party (UAP) is attracting only 1% of the vote and trails fellow Queensland based party One Nation on 3% support. In total 29.5% of Australians are supporting minor parties and independents, but this figure is dominated by the Greens (12.5%) and Independents/Others (11.5%). The remaining 5.5% is spread between One Nation, UAP, Katter’s Australian Party, Australian Conservatives and the Christian Democratic Party. The ALP (36%) leads the L-NP (34.5%) on primary votes and the ALP enjoys a comfortable two-party preferred lead over the L-NP on the back of Greens preferences. Greens preferences traditionally flow to the ALP on a ratio of 80% cf. 20%. Roy Morgan has in-depth demographic and voting data for all 151 Australian electorates as Australians head toward a Federal Election due in three months’ time.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, UNITED AUSTRALIA PARTY, ONE NATION PARTY, KATTER’S AUSTRALIAN PARTY, AUSTRALIAN CONSERVATIVES, CHRISTIAN DEMOCRATIC PARTY, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN GREENS

Dutton, Abbott top GetUp hit list

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Original article by Luke Griffiths
The Australian – Page: 4 : 17-Jan-19

GetUp has carried out an online poll in which respondents were asked to nominate three federal MPs who should be ousted from parliament at the next election due to their views on issues such as climate change and immigration. Peter Dutton attracted 22,028 votes, ahead of former prime minister Tony Abbott and George Christensen. Paul Oosting, the national director of GetUp, say the results of the poll will influence the activist group’s campaign strategy.

CORPORATES
GETUP LIMITED, EUROPEAN CLIMATE FOUNDATION

Libs believe election is still winnable

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 11-Dec-18

Home Affairs Minister Peter Dutton is among the senior Liberal MPs who are optimistic that the Coalition can win the 2019 federal election. He notes that the Coalition won an election under former prime minister John Howard despite a worse performance in public opinion polls than at present. He adds that Prime Minister Scott Morrison will be much more effective in campaigning than predecesser Malcolm Turnbull. The Coalition’s internal polling is believed to show that it is faring better than published polls suggest.

CORPORATES
LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET

Labor wants anti-corruption watchdog

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Original article by Oliver Caffrey
News.com.au – Page: Online : 21-Nov-18

Opposition Leader Bill Shorten has urged Prime Minister Scott Morrison to support Labor’s push to establish a National Integrity Commission. Labor had flagged plans for a national anti-corruption agency in early 2018, and Shorten says he will seek the support of crossbenchers for the proposal when Parliament resumes in late November. A survey by Roy Morgan in September found strong support for a national anti-corruption watchdog. The SMS Morgan Poll showed that 90% of Australians support establishing a National Crimes Authority to investigate federal government, union and private sector corruption.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, AUSTRALIA. ATTORNEY-GENERAL’S DEPT

LaTrobe University Bold Thinking Series – Is Democracy Broken featuring Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine, Tony Walker, Mark Textor and others (Video)

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 29-Oct-18

The high turnover of Prime Ministers in Australia suggests a democratic system showing signs of a broader political malaise. Analysing the state of Australian politics means understanding the interplay of "trust" and, even more importantly "distrust" in politics. (Vid 15:40). Levine asserts that "Trust is more important than ever before. When we’re all unnerved and uncertain, trust is absolutely critical. So trust is really the foundation of all human connections. It’s the glue." (Vid: 23:15). Levine on the importance of polls even considering the challenges faced in this day and age: "It’s really really important and we shouldn’t knock these polls completely. Polls are actually the voice of the people" and "Our leaders really need to understand what people, everybody’s fears, are." (Vid: 1:04:30) Roy Morgan Executive Chairman Gary Morgan posed a question about Australian democracy – to Katharine Murphy of the Guardian – "What have you done about correcting the error on what you published in the Guardian the ReachTel poll commissioned by Greenpeace" (on the Wentworth by-election). Murphy responded by expressing concern about "single seat polls" and "the rise of activists groups commissioning polls in order to massage public opinion in various ways and a lot of those activist commissioned polls have push poll questions that elicit certain responses from voters". For the full video of the discussion access the video here:

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED