PUBLIC OPINION POLLS – AUSTRALIA

Federal Election too close to call as L-NP holds big lead in Queensland

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 28-Mar-18

The latest Morgan Poll shows the Federal support for the L-NP up 3% to 49% in a fortnight narrowly behind the ALP down 3% to 51% on a two-party preferred basis. The Morgan Poll follows the SA Election won by the Liberal Party and controversial comments by Opposition Leader Bill Shorten regarding the proposed Adani coalmine in Queensland and was conducted over the last two weekends of March 17/18 & 24/25, 2018 with 1,417 electors. Primary support for the L-NP increased to 40%, up 4% in a fortnight and was led by a jump in support for the National Party up 3% to 5.5.%. Primary support for the ALP dropped 1% to 35%, support for the Greens dropped 1.5% to 12% and support for the Nick Xenophon Team was down 1% to 0.5% after its disappointing performance in the South Australian Election at which State counterpart SA Best failed to win a seat. Support for One Nation was up 0.5% to 3.5% and support for Independents/Others was down 1% to 9%. Of all electors survey a relatively high 7% were undecided.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, ONE NATION PARTY, SA-BEST PARTY

PM’s poll survival plan

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Original article by Phillip Coorey
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 1 & 5 : 6-Mar-18

Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull has downplayed concerns about his continued poor performance in public opinion polls. Turnbull ousted predecessor Tony Abbott after the latter had racked up 30 consecutive negative opinion polls, but the Coalition has now trailed Labor in 28 polls under Turnbull’s leadership. Supporters of Turnbull argue that he also cited factors such as Abbott’s lack of economic leadership for the spill in September 2015. Meanwhile, Opposition Leader Bill Shorten says his values and priorities are education, health and jobs, rather than opinion polls.

CORPORATES
AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, NEWSPOLL, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF HOME AFFAIRS

Reducing taxation and improving health benefits are major issues

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 19-Feb-18

A special Roy Morgan SMS survey, which was carried out from 9-12 February, shows that 22% of Australian electors mentioned Taxation issues, including lower taxes and tax reform, as the leading issue the Federal Government could address that would most benefit electors and their families. This is unchanged since the last time this question was asked in May 2010. A further 17% of electors mention Health issues, including private health insurance and Medicare/bulk billing (down 1% from May 2010), and an unchanged 13% mention Social welfare and the aged. Two issues now mentioned by 12% of electors are Quality of government/politicians and Reducing utilities/electricity/gas prices. Analysis of issues by voting intention shows that L-NP supporters (33%) are far more likely to mention Taxation-related issues than ALP supporters (24%). In contrast, ALP supporters (11%) are more concerned with general health issues than L-NP supporters (5%).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Cynical voters struggle to believe official unemployment figures

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Original article by Adam Creighton
The Australian – Page: 2 : 2-Feb-18

Australia’s official unemployment rate fell from 5.7 per cent to 5.5 per cent in 2017, but research by Roy Morgan shows that nearly 60 per cent of Australians think the jobless rate is much higher. The survey found that people in South Australia and Queensland in particular believe that their state’s real unemployment rate is significantly higher than official figures suggest. Roy Morgan estimates that the real unemployment rate is around 10 per cent, and executive director Gary Morgan says politicians, the Australian Bureau of Statistics and the general public know that the official figures are "nonsense".

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, SA BEST, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY

Australians oppose Trump’s decision to declare Jerusalem Israeli capital

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 18-Dec-17

A special Roy Morgan SMS Survey taken on December 14-15 shows that 76% of Australians aged 18+ are opposed to US President Donald Trump’s decision to declare Jerusalem the capital of Israel. Only 24% of Australians expressed support for the decision. Analysis by age and gender shows that 82% of women and 69% of men oppose Trump’s decision to declare Jerusalem the capital of Israel, while just 18% of women and 31% of men support the decision. Meanwhile, respondents of all age groups strongly oppose Trump’s decision, while analysis by federal voting intention shows that supporters of the Greens (96%) and Labor (88%) are far more likely to oppose Trump’s decision than Liberal-National Party supporters (59%). L-NP support for the decision is 41%, which is more than double supporters of Labour and the Greens. A separate Roy Morgan SMS Survey shows that 75% of New Zealanders oppose Trump’s decision to declare Jerusalem the capital of Israel, while 25% of New Zealanders support the decision.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

It’s Official: The ‘Energy Crisis’ is now a huge concern for Australians

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Nov-17

A special Roy Morgan study conducted from 9-11 October 2017 has found that 29% of Australians aged 14+ regard Economic Issues (including Unemployment, Housing affordability, the Economy in general, Poverty and the gap between the rich and poor) as the most important problem facing Australia. A further 15% of respondents mentioned concerns related to Energy (Energy infrastructure, Energy reliability, Electricity prices and the sustainable management of natural resources like gas). Meanwhile, just over 26% of Australians mentioned concerns related to the Environment (and in particular the issue of Global warming and Climate change) as the most important issues facing the World, just ahead of War & Terrorism (mentioned by just under 26% of respondents).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH CENTRE PTY LTD

It’s Official: Australians support assisted dying or euthanasia

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Nov-17

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey has found that 87% of Australians aged 18+ (up a significant 18% since May 1996) are in favour of "letting patients die when they are hopelessly ill and experiencing unrelievable suffering with no chance of recovery". In contrast, just 10% (down 7%) say doctors should "try to keep patients alive" and 3% (down 11%) are undecided. In 1946, when Roy Morgan first asked this question the Australian population was divided: 42% said "let the patient die", 41% said "try to keep the patient alive" and 17% were undecided. Since then support has increased fairly consistently. Analysis of supporters of various political parties shows that large majorities of supporters of all parties now support "letting the patient die", led by 91% of Greens voters, 88% of National voters, 87% of ALP voters and 86% of Liberal voters.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Drop in NXT support gives Nick Xenophon reason to ‘flee’ to SA

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Oct-17

The High Court of Australia sitting as the Court of Disputed Returns has judged that South Australian Senator Nick Xenophon was not improperly elected to Federal Parliament at the 2016 Federal Election. However, Xenophon has signalled that he will be returning to State politics anyway, and an in-depth analysis of recent Roy Morgan poll results can reveal why jumping back to State politics may be the smart move for the NXT Leader. Support for the Nick Xenophon Team has dropped alarmingly since the Federal Election, with nationwide support now at just 0.5%, down from a Federal Election return of 1.9% just over a year ago. In Xenophon’s home State the drop has been even more significant with NXT support in October of only 9.5%, down 11.8% from last year’s South Australian State total of 21.3%. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says that if NXT is to survive in Federal Parliament without its charismatic leader who has vowed to contest next year’s South Australian Election as the Leader of his new party SA Best, the outgoing Senator Xenophon must choose his replacement Senator wisely.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, HIGH COURT OF AUSTRALIA, COURT OF DISPUTED RETURNS

Australians don’t want the Adani mine

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Oct-17

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey taken on 6-8 October has found that 53.5% of Australians do not think the Adani mine should go ahead. Only 16% that say the Queensland mine should go ahead while a further 30.5% either have not heard of the Adani mine or did not indicate a preference for whether it should go ahead or not. Analyses by voting intention shows that supporters of all the major parties are against the Adani coal mine going ahead, while analyses by gender shows that 51.5% of women and 56% of men are against the mine going ahead. Analysis by State shows that far more Australians in each State are against the Adani coal mine going ahead than those in favour, including 50% per cent of respondents in Queensland.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, ADANI MINING PTY LTD

Australians are voting in favour of same sex marriage

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Oct-17

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey taken on 6-8 October shows that 61.5% of Australians are voting "Yes" in favour of same-sex marriage in the postal plebiscite. Some 17.5% are voting "No", while a further 21% did not answer the question or have no intention of voting. Although these results are slightly inconclusive on the exact margin of the final result, they do provide a degree of certainty that the plebiscite will be carried nationwide. Analysis of supporters of various political parties shows that 92% of Greens supporters and 77% of ALP supporters are voting "Yes", compared with just 40.5% of Liberal supporters and 33% of Nationals supporters. Support for the change is also consistent across the country, with clear majorities in all six States opting to vote "Yes". The State with the largest support for the change is Victoria, in which 69.5% of respondents are voting "Yes", ahead of Western Australia and Tasmania (63.5%).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA