Consumer Confidence highest for L-NP supporters

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Jul-20

New research into the weekly ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Index shows L-NP supporters have far higher Consumer Confidence in June at 103.3 than either ALP supporters (91.8) or Greens supporters (85.9). In fact, the Consumer Confidence of L-NP supporters has been consistently higher than either ALP or Greens supporters over the last year following the unexpected victory of the L-NP at last year’s Federal Election. Consumer Confidence for supporters of all three parties bottomed during the height of the national lockdown in April but the lowest Consumer Confidence for L-NP supporters, of 87.3 in April, was still higher than for Greens supporters during either of the last two months in both May and June. Consumer Confidence for ALP supporters hit a low of only 73.0 in April, lower than for supporters of either the L-NP or Greens. L-NP supporters have consistently been more confident than both ALP and Greens supporters across all five indicators of the index. The biggest contributors to the higher L-NP scores relate to views on the Australian economy and whether now is a good or bad time to buy major household items.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence slips 0.9 pts to 90.7 but down 2.6pts to 84.8 in Melbourne as COVID-19 cases surge

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 22-Jul-20

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence dropped 0.9pts to 90.7 this week – and is now at its lowest for over two months since May 9/10, 2020 (90.3). The drop in Consumer Confidence was driven by a decline of 2.6pts in Melbourne to only 84.8. The Victorian capital is now well below the national average as it battles a renewed outbreak of COVID-19. Consumer Confidence in Adelaide (92.8) and Sydney (91.0) was also down, although both are slightly above the national figure. Perth is the most confident city in Australia with Consumer Confidence surging 7.3pts to 103.4 as the city welcomed the AFL and football crowds back on the weekend. Consumer Confidence is now 25.6pts lower than a year ago on the comparable weekend of July 20/21, 2019 (116.3) and 4.1pts below the 2020 weekly average of 94.8.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence slips 0.5 pts to 91.6 after Melbourne forced back into lockdown after surge of COVID-19 cases

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 15-Jul-20

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence fell 0.5pts to 91.6 in the week to 11/12 July, and is now at its lowest level since May 9/10 (90.3). Consumer Confidence is now 24.3pts lower than a year ago (115.9) and 3.3pts below the 2020 weekly average of 94.9. Now 21% (down 2ppts) of Australians say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year, while 34% (down 3ppts) say their families are ‘worse off’ financially. Meanwhile, 34% (down 1ppt) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, and 18% (unchanged) expect to be ‘worse off’ financially. Just 7% (unchanged) expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months, while 48% (up 2ppts) expect ‘bad times’. In addition, 33% (down 2ppts) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 36% (unchanged) say now is a ‘bad time to buy’. The four-week moving average for ‘inflation expectations’ was stable at 3.2%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Inflation Expectations down to new record low in June of 3.2%

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Jul-20

In June, Australians expected inflation of 3.2% annually over the next two years; this result signified a new record low for the index – down 0.1% points on May and 0.8% points on the pre-COVID period of February 2020. Inflation Expectations have declined around the nation; however, the magnitude of the drop has been far larger in some places than others – notably Melbourne where Inflation Expectations have dropped 0.9% points since February to only 2.8% in June. The biggest decline has been in Tasmania, down from 4.9% in February to 2.9% in June, as Hobart’s formerly hot housing market has cooled during the COVID-19 pandemic. Adelaide experienced the least change, with Inflation Expectations of 3.7% in June down only 0.1% points since February, while expectations in Brisbane, Sydney and Perth are down by 0.5-0.6%. Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine says the rapid decline in Inflation Expectations in recent months is a sign of ongoing economic weakness as Australia experiences its first recession for three decades.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence drops 0.9 pts to 92.1 after Melbourne COVID-19 cases surge – forcing Melbourne back into six weeks lockdown

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 8-Jul-20

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence fell 0.9pts to 92.1 in the week to 4/5 July, to its lowest level since May 9/10 (90.3). Consumer Confidence is now 25.5pts lower than a year ago (117.6) and 2.9pts below the 2020 weekly average of 95.0. Now 23% (up 2ppts) of Australians say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year, while 37% (up 2ppts) say their families are ‘worse off’ financially. Meanwhile, 35% (up 1ppt) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year, and 18% (down 1ppt) expect to be ‘worse off’ financially. Just 7% (unchanged) expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months, while 46% (up 1ppt) expect ‘bad times’. In addition, 35% (down 1ppt) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 36% (up 2ppts) say now is a ‘bad time to buy’. The four-week moving average for ‘inflation expectations’ was stable at 3.2%.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Over 2 million Australians still unemployed in June, down 42,000 on May

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 3-Jul-20

Michele Levine, CEO Roy Morgan, says the unemployment estimate for June shows 2.05 million Australians were unemployed (14.5% of the workforce) and 1.41 million (10.0%) under-employed – a total of 3.45 million Australians (24.5%). The small changes in unemployment and under-employment in June show how much new growth is required to provide jobs for the more than 1 million Australians now unemployed that were working prior to the Australia-wide shut-downs enforced in mid-March. In addition the renewed outbreak of COVID-19 in Melbourne over the last two weeks demonstrates the virus poses an ongoing threat to lives, livelihoods and the economy more broadly.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED

Jobs clawback sees 250,000 return to work

Original article by Patrick Commins
The Australian – Page: 5 : 1-Jul-20

New data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics shows that the number of employees on companies’ payrolls has increased by 2.7 per cent since mid-April. This equates to about 250,000 workers, and follows an 8.8 per cent fall in payrolled jobs in the four weeks from 14 March. However, there are still 670,000 fewer workers on companies’ payrolls than prior to the coronavirus pandemic. The figures are based on payrolls data from the Australian Taxation Office.

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AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIAN TAXATION OFFICE

Capital raising rush far from over

Original article by Joyce Moullakis
The Australian – Page: 13 & 19 : 1-Jul-20

Data from Refinitiv shows that Australian-listed companies raised $US14.9bn ($21.8bn) via the issuance of new shares in the June quarter, as they sought to boost their balance sheets in response to the coronavirus pandemic. This is the highest quarterly total since late 2010, while some $US18.8bn worth of new shares were issued in the first half of calendar 2020. Fund managers generally expect the capital raisings momentum to be maintained in the second half. Meanwhile, the total value of mergers and acquisitions fell to $US24.9bn in the first half of 2020, compared with $US48.2bn for the first half of 2019.

CORPORATES
REFINITIV AUSTRALIA PTY LTD

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence drops 4.5 pts to 93.0 after COVID-19 cases surge in Melbourne

Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 1-Jul-20

ANZ-Roy Morgan Australian Consumer Confidence fell 4.5pts to 93.0 in the week to 27/28 June, and is now at its lowest since May 23/24 (92.7). Consumer Confidence is 25.9pts lower than a year ago (118.9) and 2.1pts below the 2020 weekly average of 95.1. Now 21% (down 2ppts) of Australians say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year (the lowest figure for this indicator since May 9/10), while 35% (down 1ppt) say their families are ‘worse off’ financially. Meanwhile, 34% (down 1ppt) of Australians expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year (the lowest figure for this indicator since April 25/26), and 19% (up 1ppt) expect to be ‘worse off’ financially. Just 7% (down 3ppts) expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months, while 45% (up 5ppts) expect ‘bad times’. In addition, 36% (down 2ppts) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 34% (up 3ppts) say now is a ‘bad time to buy’. The four-week moving average for ‘inflation expectations’ was stable at 3.2%.

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ROY MORGAN LIMITED, AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ

Wage growth tipped to crash as job market struggles

Original article by Shane Wright
The Sydney Morning Herald – Page: Online : 24-Jun-20

ANZ Bank economists Catherine Birch and Bansi Madhavani forecast that Australia’s nominal wage growth will slow to a record low of just 0.7 per cent in the first half of 2021. They warn that wages growth could fall to around zero during some quarters, and note that Australia had lower growth in wages than the US and New Zealand prior to the onset of the coronavirus pandemic. Birch and Madhavani add that the unemployment rate is artificially low due to the JobKeeper wage subsidy scheme.

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AUSTRALIA AND NEW ZEALAND BANKING GROUP LIMITED – ASX ANZ