PUBLIC OPINION POLLS – AUSTRALIA

Australians oppose Trump’s decision to declare Jerusalem Israeli capital

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Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 18-Dec-17

A special Roy Morgan SMS Survey taken on December 14-15 shows that 76% of Australians aged 18+ are opposed to US President Donald Trump’s decision to declare Jerusalem the capital of Israel. Only 24% of Australians expressed support for the decision. Analysis by age and gender shows that 82% of women and 69% of men oppose Trump’s decision to declare Jerusalem the capital of Israel, while just 18% of women and 31% of men support the decision. Meanwhile, respondents of all age groups strongly oppose Trump’s decision, while analysis by federal voting intention shows that supporters of the Greens (96%) and Labor (88%) are far more likely to oppose Trump’s decision than Liberal-National Party supporters (59%). L-NP support for the decision is 41%, which is more than double supporters of Labour and the Greens. A separate Roy Morgan SMS Survey shows that 75% of New Zealanders oppose Trump’s decision to declare Jerusalem the capital of Israel, while 25% of New Zealanders support the decision.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, UNITED STATES. EXECUTIVE OFFICE OF THE PRESIDENT, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

It’s Official: The ‘Energy Crisis’ is now a huge concern for Australians

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Nov-17

A special Roy Morgan study conducted from 9-11 October 2017 has found that 29% of Australians aged 14+ regard Economic Issues (including Unemployment, Housing affordability, the Economy in general, Poverty and the gap between the rich and poor) as the most important problem facing Australia. A further 15% of respondents mentioned concerns related to Energy (Energy infrastructure, Energy reliability, Electricity prices and the sustainable management of natural resources like gas). Meanwhile, just over 26% of Australians mentioned concerns related to the Environment (and in particular the issue of Global warming and Climate change) as the most important issues facing the World, just ahead of War & Terrorism (mentioned by just under 26% of respondents).

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ROY MORGAN RESEARCH CENTRE PTY LTD

It’s Official: Australians support assisted dying or euthanasia

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 13-Nov-17

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey has found that 87% of Australians aged 18+ (up a significant 18% since May 1996) are in favour of "letting patients die when they are hopelessly ill and experiencing unrelievable suffering with no chance of recovery". In contrast, just 10% (down 7%) say doctors should "try to keep patients alive" and 3% (down 11%) are undecided. In 1946, when Roy Morgan first asked this question the Australian population was divided: 42% said "let the patient die", 41% said "try to keep the patient alive" and 17% were undecided. Since then support has increased fairly consistently. Analysis of supporters of various political parties shows that large majorities of supporters of all parties now support "letting the patient die", led by 91% of Greens voters, 88% of National voters, 87% of ALP voters and 86% of Liberal voters.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Drop in NXT support gives Nick Xenophon reason to ‘flee’ to SA

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 30-Oct-17

The High Court of Australia sitting as the Court of Disputed Returns has judged that South Australian Senator Nick Xenophon was not improperly elected to Federal Parliament at the 2016 Federal Election. However, Xenophon has signalled that he will be returning to State politics anyway, and an in-depth analysis of recent Roy Morgan poll results can reveal why jumping back to State politics may be the smart move for the NXT Leader. Support for the Nick Xenophon Team has dropped alarmingly since the Federal Election, with nationwide support now at just 0.5%, down from a Federal Election return of 1.9% just over a year ago. In Xenophon’s home State the drop has been even more significant with NXT support in October of only 9.5%, down 11.8% from last year’s South Australian State total of 21.3%. Roy Morgan Research executive chairman Gary Morgan says that if NXT is to survive in Federal Parliament without its charismatic leader who has vowed to contest next year’s South Australian Election as the Leader of his new party SA Best, the outgoing Senator Xenophon must choose his replacement Senator wisely.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, HIGH COURT OF AUSTRALIA, COURT OF DISPUTED RETURNS

Australians don’t want the Adani mine

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Oct-17

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey taken on 6-8 October has found that 53.5% of Australians do not think the Adani mine should go ahead. Only 16% that say the Queensland mine should go ahead while a further 30.5% either have not heard of the Adani mine or did not indicate a preference for whether it should go ahead or not. Analyses by voting intention shows that supporters of all the major parties are against the Adani coal mine going ahead, while analyses by gender shows that 51.5% of women and 56% of men are against the mine going ahead. Analysis by State shows that far more Australians in each State are against the Adani coal mine going ahead than those in favour, including 50% per cent of respondents in Queensland.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, ADANI MINING PTY LTD

Australians are voting in favour of same sex marriage

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 16-Oct-17

A special Roy Morgan Snap SMS Survey taken on 6-8 October shows that 61.5% of Australians are voting "Yes" in favour of same-sex marriage in the postal plebiscite. Some 17.5% are voting "No", while a further 21% did not answer the question or have no intention of voting. Although these results are slightly inconclusive on the exact margin of the final result, they do provide a degree of certainty that the plebiscite will be carried nationwide. Analysis of supporters of various political parties shows that 92% of Greens supporters and 77% of ALP supporters are voting "Yes", compared with just 40.5% of Liberal supporters and 33% of Nationals supporters. Support for the change is also consistent across the country, with clear majorities in all six States opting to vote "Yes". The State with the largest support for the change is Victoria, in which 69.5% of respondents are voting "Yes", ahead of Western Australia and Tasmania (63.5%).

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIAN GREENS, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, LIBERAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA, NATIONAL PARTY OF AUSTRALIA

Marriage poll nearly 80% done

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Original article by Adam Gartrell
The Age – Page: 1 : 3-Oct-17

Polling undertaken on behalf of the Equality Campaign has found that 77 per cent of Australian electors have already voted in the postal plebiscite on same-sex marriage. The survey of 1,000 people shows that 69 per cent of electors aged 18-24 have returned their survey form, while 17 per cent of people in this age group have filled in their form but have yet to return it. The majority of young people are expected to vote in favour of same-sex marriage. Some 80 per cent of people aged 65+ have also returned their survey form; support for the traditional view of marriage is expected to be high among this age group.

CORPORATES
THE EQUALITY CAMPAIGN, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIAN ELECTORAL COMMISSION, AUSTRALIAN CHRISTIAN LOBBY, SKY NEWS, REACHTEL PTY LTD

Personal approvals don’t matter, says pollster Gary Morgan

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Original article by Luke Henriques Gomes
The New Daily – Page: Online : 14-Sep-17

Pollster Gary Morgan says leadership approval ratings do not necessarily translate into electoral success. Opposition Leader Bill Shorten is performing poorly against Prime Minister Malcolm Turnbull in personal approval polls, despite Labor being ahead of the government in polling. Morgan, the executive chairman of Roy Morgan Research, cites examples such as Margaret Thatcher and Helen Clark of politicians who enjoyed electoral success despite low approval ratings. He says voters focus on issues important to them, rather than on political party leaders. Roy Morgan each week surveys face to face an Australian wide cross section of about 1,000 people aged 14 and over. Voting intention of electors is available to subscribers and clients.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED, AUSTRALIA. DEPT OF THE PRIME MINISTER AND CABINET, AUSTRALIAN LABOR PARTY, NICK XENOPHON TEAM, ONE NATION LIMITED, NEWSPOLL, IPSOS AUSTRALIA PTY LTD, FAIRFAX MEDIA LIMITED – ASX FXJ

Australians split down the middle on whether North Korea will use a nuclear weapon; as expected Australians want a peaceful diplomatic solution to North Korean stand-off

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Original article by Roy Morgan Research
Morgan Poll Update – Page: Online : 18-Sep-17

A special snap SMS Morgan Poll taken on 14 September 2017 shows that Australians are evenly split on whether North Korea will use a nuclear weapon: 51% say it is either "Fairly unlikely" (33%) or "Very unlikely" (18%) to do so, while 49% say it is "Fairly likely" (33%) or "Very likely" (16%) to do so. Meanwhile, 81% of Australians want the opposing sides in the North Korean stand-off to reach a peaceful diplomatic solution, and only 19% believe a peaceful diplomatic solution is not working and a military one is needed. Analysing the results by voting preference shows supporters of the major parties are also split down the middle on whether North Korea will use a nuclear weapon, and large majorities of supporters of all parties are in favour of a peaceful diplomatic solution. Roy Morgan Research CEO Gary Morgan says the consensus across political lines also extends across both genders, all age groups and around all of Australia’s States. However, the snap SMS Morgan Poll was taken before North Korea’s latest provocation when the regime of Kim Jong-Un fired a ballistic missile nearly 4,000km eastward across the northern Japanese island of Hokkaido.

CORPORATES
MORGAN POLL, ROY MORGAN RESEARCH LIMITED

$1m poll could do job of $122m plebiscite

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Original article by Andrew Tillett
The Australian Financial Review – Page: 4 : 9-Aug-17

Pollster John Scales of JWS Research has questioned the cost of the Federal Government’s proposed postal plebiscite on same-sex marriage. Scales argues that the estimated cost of $A122m is excessive, and his firm could poll 1,000 people in each federal electorate with a margin of error of 3.1 per cent, and at a cost of less than $A1.1m. Scales notes that postal votes have similar limitations to public opinion polls, adding that there was a response rate of just 47 per cent for Australia’s last postal vote in 1997.

CORPORATES
JWS RESEARCH PTY LTD, AUSTRALIAN BUREAU OF STATISTICS, AUSTRALIAN ELECTORAL COMMISSION