Original article by Roy Morgan
Market Research Update – Page: Online : 7-Oct-26

Roy Morgan’s New Zealand Poll for September 2026 shows that support for the National-led Government (National, ACT & NZ First) is up 3% to 52%, increasing its clear lead over the Labour-Greens-Maori Party Parliamentary Opposition (virtually unchanged at 41.5%). This is the largest lead for the National-led Government since September 2024. Amongst the Government support for National was unchanged at 31%, support for ACT was up 0.5% to 11%, and support for New Zealand First was up 2.5% to 10%. For the Parliamentary Opposition, support for Labour was down 0.5% to 23.5%, support for the Greens was up 0.5% to 16%, and support for the Maori Party rose 0.5% to 2%. A further 6.5% (down 3.5%) of electors supported a minor party outside Parliament. The survey results for September would lead to the National-led Government winning 62 seats (down six seats from the election) and the Labour-led Parliamentary Opposition would win 50 seats (down five seats). This latest New Zealand Roy Morgan Poll on voting intention was conducted by telephone – both landline and mobile – with a New Zealand-wide cross-section of 859 electors from 31 August to 27 September. Meanwhile, the Roy Morgan Government Confidence Rating rose 4 points to 85.5 in September.

CORPORATES
ROY MORGAN LIMITED, MORGAN POLL, NATIONAL PARTY OF NEW ZEALAND, ACT NEW ZEALAND, NEW ZEALAND FIRST PARTY, LABOUR PARTY (NEW ZEALAND), GREEN PARTY OF AOTEAROA NEW ZEALAND, THE MAORI PARTY, OPPORTUNITY PARTY